Posts tagged ATALIAN
Atalian - Choice or dilemma

Please find our updated analysis here.

 Atalian’s proposed Exchange Offer is coercive but is close enough to our DCF valuation for the additional recovery to be only worthwhile if you see a significant upside in the company projections, which we do not. We are unconvinced that

Read More
Aengus McMahonATALIAN
Atalian - comment

Atalian have reached an agreement with the ad-hoc bondholder group to extend maturities of the 2024 and both 2025 bonds until June 2028, with the new bonds having (3.5% cash and 5% PIK coupon).  In addition, €400m of cash, split €240m of rate

Read More
Tomás MannionATALIAN
Atalian – Strategic Manoeuvres

Please see our updated analysis here.

Atalian’s upcoming strategic plan needs to address several issues; 1) how to refinance both the 2024/2025 bonds, 2) whether the refinance operation can be split, and 3) how to generate enough free cash flow to cover coupon >1.5x. Atalian’s pitch to

Read More
Aengus McMahonATALIAN
Atalian – Phoney war

Please find our unchanged analysis here. We are reserving the update for next month.

In September, Atalian will present its strategic plan aimed to pacify bondholders, whilst leaving the equity in charge of the business. Meanwhile, we are awaiting answers from IR, which have been delayed by the plan and summer leave. Previously, management has

Read More
Aengus McMahonATALIAN
Atalian – Groundhog Day

Please find our unchanged analysis here. 

Ahead of its 23Q1 results on 26th May, we heard last week that Atalian has appointed advisors regarding debt refinancing in 2024 and 2025. These days there is not much equity value in the business, and we think there is still a downside to the bond price from

Read More